Monday, January 28, 2008

OUTLOOK Euro zone economic data forecasts for the week ahead

LONDON (Thomson Financial) - The following are consensus forecasts for euro zone economic indicators due in the week ahead.
The TFN consensus is the median of a range of forecasts gathered by Thomson Financial News from a broad sample of private sector economists.
Figures are for percentage change unless stated.
TFN CONSENSUS PREVIOUS PERIOD
MON JAN 28
Euro zone Dec M3 money supply
year-on-year +12.2 +12.3
3 mths year-on-year +12.2 +11.9
Euro zone Dec private sector loans +11.0 +11.0

TUES JAN 29
France Jan consumer confidence (index) -30 -29
Italy Jan business confidence (index) 91.0 91.8
Euro zone Nov current account 0.4 1.3
(sa, bln eur)
THURS JAN 31
France Dec PPI
month-on-month +0.1 +0.8
year-on-year +4.4 +4.2
Germany Jan unemployment
Rate +8.3 +8.4
ILO rate +7.8 +7.9
Change (000 s) -45 -78
Italy Dec hourly wages
month-on-month +0.3 +0.2
year-on-year +2.4 +2.0
Euro zone Jan flash HICP
year-on-year +3.1 +3.1
Euro zone Dec unemployment rate +7.1 +7.2
European Commission Jan survey (index)
Economic confidence 104.2 104.7
Industry confidence 1 2
Consumer confidence -10 -9
Services confidence 12 14
Euro zone Jan business climate (index) 0.88 0.92
Italy Dec PPI
month-on-month +0.2 +0.9
year-on-year +4.6 +4.6

FRI FEB 1
Germany Jan manufacturing PMI 53.1 53.6
France Jan manufacturing PMI 53.6 53.8
Italy Jan manufacturing PMI 50.2 50.7
Euro zone Jan final manufacturing PMI 52.6 52.6*

ALSO DUE DURING THE WEEK
Germany Jan CPI
month-on-month -0.4 +0.5
year-on-year +2.5 +2.8
Germany Jan HICP
month-on-month -0.4 +0.7
year-on-year +2.9 +3.1
Germany Dec retail sales
month-on-month +2.0 -1.9
year-on-year -4.1 -3.9
(* refers to provisional estimate) alex.brittain@thomson.com abr/slj COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Financial News Limited 2007. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Thomson Financial News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Financial News. MMMM

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